Genoa U18 vs Bologna U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
7º
5º
41
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 3
GEN
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 4
GEN
28%
24%
49%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 3
GEN
16%
18%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 3
GEN
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
BOL
28%
21%
51%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAG
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAR
50%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ASR
1 - 3
BOL
54%
19%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 2
ATA
32%
21%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |