Genoa U18 vs Bologna U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
43.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
15º
5º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EMP
4 - 2
GEN
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 5
EMP
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
GEN
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 1
NAP
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 4
GEN
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bologna U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
TOR
40%
21%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAS
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BOL
31%
21%
48%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 4
GEN
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 2
BOL
32%
21%
46%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |