Genoa U17 vs Spezia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
3º
22
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
GEN
16%
19%
66%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 3
SAS
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
GEN
35%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 1
TOR
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 1
REG
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 1
SPE
58%
20%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
SPE
71%
17%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 3
BOL
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |