Genoa U17 vs Modena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
3º
29
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PIS
0 - 0
GEN
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 3
JUV
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
42%
23%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 1
SPE
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOD
3 - 1
SPE
29%
21%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
32%
22%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 1
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
22%
21%
58%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |