Genoa U17 vs Modena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
4º
3
10º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOL
6 - 1
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 2
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
GEN
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 0
SMP
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
PAR
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 5
FIO
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
6 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |