RAEC Mons vs Acren Lessines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
1º
5º
1º
33
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
85 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RAEC Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
WAR
0 - 2
GEN
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BIN
0 - 3
GEN
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
LAL
66%
19%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STO
1 - 5
GEN
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 3
TOU
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Acren Lessines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACR
1 - 1
ROC
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ACR
3 - 1
HAM
45%
22%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
WAR
3 - 0
ACR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ACR
1 - 1
LAL
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ACR
2 - 1
GAN
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |