Genk vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
5º
3º
26
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
GNK
2 - 1
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 1
GNK
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
GNK
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
GNK
0 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
SDL
1 - 2
GNK
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 2
KVK
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ANT
0 - 1
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 1
BRU
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
GNK
0 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
BET
0 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |