Genk vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
GNK
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GNK
1 - 1
AND
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ADA
1 - 0
GNK
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
GNK
2 - 1
ADA
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GNK
0 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
INT
4 - 0
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
RAP
71%
17%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 2
LEC
74%
16%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 0
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |