Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
KVM
2 - 2
GNK
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
GNK
1 - 2
MON
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AND
1 - 0
GNK
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
GNK
0 - 1
STR
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
KVC
2 - 1
GNK
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 0
BRU
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LOK
0 - 0
EXC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 1
KVM
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
AND
2 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |