Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
BRU
0 - 1
GNK
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
GNK
3 - 1
KVC
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
2 - 1
GNK
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GNK
2 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MON
5 - 0
GNK
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LOK
1 - 1
EXC
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 2
RWD
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
BRU
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
KVC
1 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |