Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GNK
0 - 1
SDL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
2 - 2
GNK
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
GNK
0 - 1
LOV
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GNK
3 - 1
CER
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
RAA
2 - 3
GNK
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 1
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CER
1 - 0
EXC
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
RAA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ZUL
4 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |