Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
RWD
0 - 1
GNK
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
BER
2 - 3
GNK
21%
23%
57%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GNK
1 - 0
KVC
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
AND
2 - 1
GNK
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GNK
1 - 0
KSK
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
AND
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
LOK
1 - 1
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
EXC
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 1
BRU
26%
24%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |