Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
2 - 2
GNK
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
GNK
2 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
BRU
1 - 0
GNK
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
GNK
3 - 1
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
GNK
2 - 2
STR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 1
LIE
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
MON
3 - 3
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 2
SDL
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
KVM
3 - 2
EXC
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 4
KVC
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |