Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
GNK
2 - 0
ANT
72%
16%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
LOK
4 - 1
GNK
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 0
GNK
35%
24%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
GNK
1 - 1
RAA
87%
9%
4%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
STR
0 - 1
GNK
44%
24%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
SDL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 1
KVM
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
LOM
2 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
KVC
1 - 2
EXC
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |