Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
SDL
3 - 0
GNK
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
GNK
2 - 1
GEN
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
GNK
1 - 3
LIE
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
MOL
1 - 1
GNK
20%
26%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
GNK
1 - 1
ANT
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
LIE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
MOL
2 - 1
EXC
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
ANT
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
KSK
1 - 1
EXC
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
HAR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |