UEFA Youth League Ruta Doméstica Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Genk U19 vs CSKA Sofia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ATM
4 - 1
GNK
44%
22%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GNK
0 - 0
JUV
55%
20%
24%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
GNK
6 - 1
COL
79%
13%
7%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
COL
0 - 4
GNK
9%
14%
77%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SLP
2 - 4
GNK
45%
22%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 0
CSK
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CSK
3 - 0
VIB
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
NAT
2 - 1
CSK
28%
21%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 3
CMV
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SEP
2 - 0
CSK
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -3 |