General Velásquez vs Tomás Greig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GVE
3 - 2
BDS
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 2
GVE
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GVE
2 - 1
DLI
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GVE
2 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
GVE
1 - 0
JOA
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 1
FVC
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BDS
4 - 0
TOM
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TOM
4 - 2
LAU
48%
23%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 1
DLI
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
TOM
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |