General Velásquez vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 1
GVE
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GVE
3 - 1
ACC
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
GVE
3 - 0
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
GVE
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
GVE
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CDP
2 - 0
FVC
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FVC
2 - 1
LAU
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 0
FVC
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FVC
2 - 2
LIM
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
FVC
2 - 1
DMQ
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |