General Díaz vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 1
AME
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
RÑU
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 3
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
4 - 3
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 3
AME
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |