General Díaz vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GEN
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GEN
3 - 2
CCP
24%
26%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 1
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
25%
26%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
AME
2 - 3
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
25%
26%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |