General Díaz vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SDP
0 - 0
GEN
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 4
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 0
GEN
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPO
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 3
SPO
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
29D
1 - 0
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FER
2 - 2
SPO
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 0
FER
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |