General Caballero JLM vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
9º
32
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
JLM
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 0
JLM
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPT
0 - 3
JLM
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |