Tweede Divisie - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 1-6
Genemuiden vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
26%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 3
BLA
48%
23%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
BLA
4 - 3
GEN
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 1
TIE
50%
22%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TIE
1 - 0
GEN
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
HAR
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 0
USV
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
USV
1 - 1
EXC
70%
17%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |