Genemuiden vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
URK
1 - 0
GEN
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 2
DOS
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
5 - 2
GEN
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 1
AZS
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
PSV
6 - 0
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 83 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVO
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 2
EXC
9%
17%
73%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
6 - 1
HZV
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 5
STA
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 3
EXC
12%
18%
69%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |