Genemuiden vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GEN
6 - 0
ORA
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 0
FLE
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 2
GEN
69%
19%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
STA
1 - 2
GEN
63%
19%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 2
BEQ
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 1
EXC
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GOA
2 - 2
EXC
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
BEQ
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
HAR
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NUN
2 - 2
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |