Genemuiden vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 1
ORA
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BER
0 - 2
GEN
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
HHC
5 - 3
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 0
WHC
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 2
ONS
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GOA
0 - 3
EXC
32%
24%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 1
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
FLE
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
HHC
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ACV
1 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |