Gemert vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
GEM
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GEM
1 - 1
WKE
27%
25%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 2
GEM
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HBS
3 - 0
GEM
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GEM
0 - 3
JVC
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 3
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEY
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |