Gemert vs De Valk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
1 - 2
GEM
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GEM
3 - 0
DOS
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 3
GEM
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GEM
2 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BLA
2 - 1
GEM
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
DEV
1 - 3
UDI
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 0
DEV
67%
18%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DEV
3 - 1
AWC
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OSS
3 - 0
DEV
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DOS
1 - 1
DEV
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |