Gemert vs De Valk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OJC
0 - 2
GEM
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GEM
3 - 1
SCH
41%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 4
GEM
39%
24%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GEM
3 - 0
VEN
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DON
1 - 1
GEM
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RKS
1 - 1
DEV
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DEV
0 - 3
BLA
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 3
OJC
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
5 - 0
DEV
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NEM
0 - 1
DEV
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |