Gemert vs De Valk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GEM
2 - 0
DIJ
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GEM
0 - 3
OJC
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DES
2 - 5
GEM
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EHC
1 - 3
GEM
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GEM
1 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEV
4 - 0
VEN
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OJC
1 - 2
DEV
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DEV
4 - 0
DES
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DEV
2 - 1
NUE
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
DEV
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |