Gemert vs Papendrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEM
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
GEM
0 - 1
EVV
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
BLA
2 - 2
GEM
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 2
GEM
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
GEM
1 - 2
OJC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Papendrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAP
1 - 3
EVV
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
PAP
0 - 1
BLA
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
UNA
6 - 0
PAP
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PAP
3 - 5
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
OJC
0 - 1
PAP
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |