Gemert vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EVV
2 - 0
GEM
40%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GEM
0 - 1
FCO
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ACH
1 - 1
GEM
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GEM
1 - 0
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
APE
0 - 1
GEM
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIE
4 - 2
DET
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LIE
2 - 0
EVV
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 0
LIE
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LIE
0 - 4
ACH
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
NOO
3 - 2
LIE
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |