Gemert vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MEE
2 - 1
GEM
35%
24%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 3
UDI
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WOE
2 - 0
GEM
21%
20%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GEM
3 - 1
GRO
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GOE
3 - 1
DBI
31%
21%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
HAL
1 - 1
GOE
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GOE
0 - 1
IFC
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
2 - 0
GOE
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GOE
2 - 0
JUL
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |