Gemert vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MEE
4 - 1
GEM
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GEM
1 - 2
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAP
3 - 3
GEM
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GEM
3 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WHC
2 - 0
GEM
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GEL
1 - 1
EVV
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BLA
0 - 4
GEL
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
GEL
0 - 0
UNA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 1
GEL
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
GEL
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |