Gemert vs Winterswijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 2
GEM
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 1
VVS
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KOZ
3 - 0
GEM
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
GEM
4 - 0
EXC
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 1
TOG
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Winterswijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCW
2 - 0
BLA
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DEB
2 - 0
FCW
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BEM
4 - 2
FCW
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
4 - 0
AVV
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WOE
2 - 1
FCW
34%
23%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |