Gemert vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 1
TOG
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASW
0 - 2
GEM
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GEM
1 - 0
STE
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 2
HEL
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 4
GEM
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
EEM
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TIE
3 - 1
EXC
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
62%
20%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
VVS
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROH
3 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |