Gemert vs EVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MEE
4 - 5
GEM
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GEM
0 - 0
JVC
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UDI
0 - 2
GEM
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GEM
1 - 0
DEU
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
INT
2 - 3
GEM
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EVV
2 - 0
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GEL
4 - 0
EVV
27%
24%
48%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -3 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FCV
0 - 4
EVV
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
EVV
1 - 2
MEE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
EVV
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |