Gemert vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
GEM
26%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 0
BLA
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOP
2 - 2
GEM
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 2
TIE
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 4
GEM
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
DON
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DON
6 - 1
TOP
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DEU
1 - 0
DON
23%
23%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
DON
4 - 2
GRO
56%
21%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DON
4 - 0
AWC
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |