Gemert vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GEM
3 - 1
DEU
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
NUE
0 - 2
GEM
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GEM
1 - 0
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
EHC
3 - 0
GEM
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GEM
1 - 0
BLA
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
DON
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DON
4 - 0
RKS
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DEV
0 - 1
DON
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 2
DON
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
OJC
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |