Gemert vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VLI
3 - 1
GEM
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DEV
0 - 1
GEM
12%
19%
69%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GEM
7 - 2
AWC
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DEU
2 - 3
GEM
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 2
UDI
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 2
EHC
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 1
SCH
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 4
TIE
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TOP
1 - 1
BLA
29%
24%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BLA
4 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |