Gemert vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
GEM
1 - 0
GRO
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GEL
1 - 2
GEM
30%
24%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GEM
2 - 1
EVV
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MEE
4 - 5
GEM
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GEM
0 - 0
JVC
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 1
TOP
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FCV
0 - 3
BAR
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
3 - 2
GEL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EVV
2 - 0
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
TWE
3 - 0
BAR
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |