Geldrop vs t Zand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
9º
36
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RKV
0 - 3
GEL
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SCK
3 - 0
GEL
16%
17%
67%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GEL
1 - 0
EAV
40%
21%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ERP
2 - 1
GEL
40%
21%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GEL
2 - 2
FCB
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TZA
5 - 0
SVM
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 1
TZA
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TZA
1 - 3
RKV
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TZA
2 - 2
SCK
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
EAV
0 - 5
TZA
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +2 |