Geldrop vs Kruisland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+154%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
9º
52
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
EAV
2 - 2
GEL
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
2 - 1
ERP
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
GEL
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
DOS
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VOA
0 - 0
GEL
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kruisland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SCK
2 - 0
TZA
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 0
RKV
37%
21%
42%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EAV
0 - 1
SCK
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SCK
2 - 1
ERP
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 3
SCK
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |