Geldrop vs RKVV Erp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
33.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
9º
44
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
GEL
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
DOS
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VOA
0 - 0
GEL
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GEL
0 - 0
RKS
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
RKS
1 - 0
GEL
27%
21%
53%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RKVV Erp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 0
TZA
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SCK
2 - 1
ERP
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 0
EAV
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ERP
2 - 0
RKV
35%
21%
44%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 2
ERP
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |