Geldrop vs LONGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 0
GEL
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JEK
1 - 1
GEL
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 1
VLI
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PSV
0 - 1
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 2
BRA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LON
0 - 0
IFC
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 1
LON
46%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LON
1 - 0
TER
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LON
2 - 1
JEK
43%
24%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VLI
1 - 1
LON
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |