Geldrop vs JEKA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VLI
5 - 1
GEL
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
PSV
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GEL
4 - 2
ROO
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GOE
2 - 3
GEL
38%
23%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GEL
3 - 1
WSC
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
JEKA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JEK
1 - 2
IFC
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EFC
0 - 2
JEK
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
JEK
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VLI
4 - 1
JEK
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JEK
3 - 0
PSV
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |