Gelbison vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
GEL
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
3 - 2
MAT
20%
24%
57%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +4 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
POM
3 - 1
GEL
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 2
ASF
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ACC
1 - 0
GEL
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ISC
2 - 0
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 1
FCT
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
FRA
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
POM
1 - 0
FRA
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |