Gelbison vs Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 2
GEL
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 1
TAR
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 1
GEL
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
FBC
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEL
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 1
GLA
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
USB
1 - 0
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 1
ASD
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
USF
1 - 1
VIR
91%
8%
2%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 0
SOR
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |