Gelbison vs Trastevere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FBC
0 - 1
GEL
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
CYN
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 5
NAR
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 2
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
PIC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 1
PIC
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 2
BIS
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CSV
2 - 0
TRA
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MDC
0 - 2
TRA
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TRA
6 - 1
POL
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |