Gelbison vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 1
GEL
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
FBC
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEL
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
AGR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASF
0 - 1
GEL
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
ASF
3 - 2
TAR
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TAR
3 - 1
GLA
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
USB
3 - 0
TAR
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASD
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
TAR
2 - 0
AUD
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |